EURUSD Smart Money Analysis Today | Sniper Sell Setup & Liquidity Targets (21 April 2026)
Professional EURUSD analysis using ICT, SMC, liquidity trading, and sniper strategy. Includes entry zones, stop loss, and high-probability targets.
🧭 Trend Direction:
On the D1 timeframe, price previously created a strong bullish expansion followed by a rejection from a major supply zone, forming a Strong High. After that, the market shifted with a CHOCH, indicating potential distribution rather than continuation.
On the 4H timeframe, bullish structure (HH + HL) was valid, but recent price action shows weak highs forming near 1.1830 – 1.1850 and inability to continue higher. A minor CHOCH suggests momentum loss.
On the 1H timeframe, price formed EQH → liquidity grab → bearish CHOCH, followed by consolidation. This signals internal distribution and range formation.
On the 15M timeframe, clear bearish shift occurred:
EQH → liquidity sweep → CHOCH → BOS down
➡️ Current Market Condition: Distribution phase with bearish intraday bias.
🪄 Technical Price Action:
Price is currently trading near equilibrium (~1.1780) after rejecting from premium zone.
Key resistance zone: 1.1790 – 1.1820 (Supply + Weak High)
Key support zone: 1.1750 – 1.1730 (Demand + liquidity pool)
Market is currently rotating within a range, but rejection from premium confirms downside pressure.
➡️ Institutional activity is concentrated near supply (sell zone) and demand (buy zone).
🪁 Smart Money Concept (SMC):
Buy-side liquidity rests above 1.1800 – 1.1830, which has already been partially swept.
Sell-side liquidity is below 1.1750 and 1.1730, acting as the main draw.
Recent sequence:
• Equal Highs (EQH) formed
• Liquidity sweep above highs
• Strong bearish CHOCH
• BOS confirming sell-side pressure
➡️ Market intent: Take liquidity from below (sell-side).
📊 Volume Profile + Institutional Logic:
POC is around 1.1780, where price is currently consolidating → equilibrium zone.
VAH aligns with supply zone → rejection confirms selling interest.
80% rule suggests: once price rejects VAH, it tends to rotate toward VAL → downside probability increases.
LVN below current price supports fast bearish move continuation.
⚡ ICT Power of 3 (PO3):
On 1H structure:
• Accumulation → sideways range
• Manipulation → sweep above EQH (~1.1800)
• Distribution → current bearish pressure
➡️ Distribution phase active → bearish continuation expected.
📉 CCI + MACD Confirmation:
CCI dropping from overbought → bearish momentum
MACD shows bearish crossover
➡️ Momentum aligns with sell-side dominance.
🧠 Institutional Levels:
• Supply Zone: 1.1790 – 1.1820
• Demand Zone: 1.1730 – 1.1750
• Minor FVG: 1.1785 – 1.1790 (resistance)
Institutions likely to sell from supply and target liquidity below equal lows.
💹 RSI & Volume Confirmation:
RSI below 50 → bearish control
Volume spikes during bearish moves → confirms institutional selling
➡️ Sellers dominate current market flow.
🌍 Fundamental Bias:
USD remains relatively strong due to rate expectations and risk-off sentiment.
EUR shows relative weakness, supporting downside pressure on EURUSD.
➡️ Fundamental bias: Bearish for EURUSD.
🔐 EURUSD Sniper Trading Plan:
➡️ Market Direction: Bearish (Sell preferred)
📉 SELL SETUP:
Entry Zone: 1.1785 – 1.1795
Stop Loss: 1.1825
Target 1: 1.1760
Target 2: 1.1740
Target 3: 1.1710
Logic:
Price is rejecting from equilibrium moving into premium + supply zone. Liquidity sweep already done above EQH. Distribution phase targeting sell-side liquidity below 1.1750.
📈 BUY SETUP (Counter-Trend):
Entry Zone: 1.1730 – 1.1750
Stop Loss: 1.1700
Target 1: 1.1780
Target 2: 1.1800
Target 3: 1.1830
Logic:
Demand zone + sell-side liquidity pool. If bullish CHOCH occurs with strong reaction, short-term retracement to equilibrium/premium possible.
🎭 Market Summary:
EURUSD is currently in a distribution phase after liquidity grab, with bearish intraday structure dominating. Institutions are targeting sell-side liquidity below 1.1750, making sell setups from premium zones the highest probability.
