USOIL remains bearish after strong distribution and liquidity sweep. Learn high-probability sniper trading setups using ICT, SMC, and volume profile analysis with clear entry, stop loss, and targets.
🧭 Trend Direction:
On the D1 timeframe, price formed a strong bullish expansion followed by a sharp rejection from the major supply zone (110 – 120), creating a Weak High. This signals distribution after liquidity grab.
On the 4H timeframe, market clearly shifted structure:
• Strong bullish BOS →
• Then sharp CHOCH to bearish
• Now forming Lower High (LH) + Lower Low (LL)
On the 1H timeframe, consistent bearish order flow is visible with:
➡️ Current Market Condition: Bearish continuation after distribution phase.
🪄 Technical Price Action:
Price is currently trading around 86.00 – 87.00, sitting below equilibrium and rejecting from lower timeframe supply.
Key resistance zones:
• 87.50 – 88.50 (intraday supply)
• 92.00 – 95.00 (major supply)
Key support zones:
• 83.00 – 84.00 (minor demand)
• 78.00 – 80.00 (sell-side liquidity pool)
➡️ Market is trading in discount zone but still weak, indicating continuation rather than reversal.
🪁 Smart Money Concept (SMC):
Buy-side liquidity rests above:
• 88.00 – 90.00 (EQH zone)
Sell-side liquidity rests below:
• 83.00 and 78.00 (Weak Low)
Recent structure confirms:
• Liquidity sweep above highs
• Strong CHOCH
• BOS down → continuation
➡️ Market is targeting sell-side liquidity below 83.00 and 78.00
📊 Volume Profile + Institutional Logic:
POC is near 86.50, current price rotating just below → bearish acceptance
VAH aligns with 88.00 supply zone → rejection confirmed
Using 80% rule → price likely rotates toward lower value area (80 zone)
LVN below current price → supports fast bearish continuation
⚡ ICT Power of 3 (PO3):
On 1H:
• Accumulation → consolidation around 90
• Manipulation → spike toward 95+
• Distribution → current sharp drop
➡️ Distribution phase is active → bearish bias remains strong
📉 CCI + MACD Confirmation:
CCI: moving downward, below mid-level
MACD: bearish crossover + expanding histogram
➡️ Momentum confirms seller dominance
🧠 Institutional Levels:
• Supply Zone (Intraday): 87.50 – 88.50
• Major Supply: 92.00 – 95.00
• Demand Zone: 83.00 – 84.00
• Strong Liquidity Zone: 78.00 – 80.00
Institutions likely:
→ Sell from supply zones
→ Push price toward sell-side liquidity below
💹 RSI & Volume Confirmation:
RSI below 50 → bearish trend
Volume increases during bearish candles → confirms strong selling
➡️ Sellers control the market
🌍 Fundamental Bias:
Oil is currently under pressure due to:
• Demand concerns
• Strong USD
• Risk sentiment fluctuations
➡️ Fundamental bias supports downside continuation
🔐 USOIL Sniper Trading Plan:
➡️ Market Direction: Bearish (Sell preferred)
📉 SELL SETUP:
Entry Zone: 86.80 – 87.80
Stop Loss: 89.50
Target 1: 84.50
Target 2: 82.50
Target 3: 79.50
Logic:
Price is reacting from equilibrium and intraday supply. Structure confirms LH + LL. Institutions targeting sell-side liquidity below 83 and 78.
📈 BUY SETUP (Counter-Trend):
Entry Zone: 83.00 – 84.00
Stop Loss: 80.50
Target 1: 86.50
Target 2: 88.00
Target 3: 90.00
Logic:
Demand zone + sell-side liquidity. If strong rejection + bullish CHOCH occurs, short-term retracement possible.
🎭Market Summary:
USOIL is in a clear bearish continuation phase after distribution, with strong institutional selling pressure. Market is likely to target deeper liquidity below 83 and 78, making sell setups from retracement zones the highest probability.
